UAH & ENSO Updates For March 2016

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

March2016_tlt_update_bar

http://nsstc.uah.edu/climate/index.html

According to UAH, lower troposphere anomalies fell back sharply in March, down 0.10C. RSS also show a similar picture, down 0.13C.

With El Nino conditions continuing to dissipate during March, we may well have now seen the temperature peak in February, as I have been saying for a while.

image

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/

It is worth comparing the current situation with 1997/98.

First, ENSO values:

image

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei/table.html

We see that, although the 1997/98 El Nino peaked, (so far), higher than this one, we have actually had El Nino conditions for much longer in 2015/16. Indeed, there has been a mild El Nino since Spring 2014. This is one reason why temperatures have so far peaked slightly higher this year.

The second thing to note is that El Nino recovered in strength to make a second peak in Spring 1998. I would expect the MEI values for March to be much…

View original post 161 more words

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s