El Nino Update

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

Just a brief El Nino update.

El Nino conditions have continued to weaken during April, with negative SSTs appearing in the East Pacific.

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Below the surface as well cold water is taking over.

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Most models are now predicting transition to neutral conditions by June, with an increasing likelihood of La Nina by the autumn.

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/

It will be interesting to see what atmospheric temperature anomalies tell us, when UAH and RSS report later this week.

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http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_daily.php?plot=ssa&inv=0&t=cur

I have been reporting on the ever growing cold blob in the North Atlantic recently.

WUWT also has a piece up about ocean heat content there, written by David Archibald.

This shows that heat content down to 700m has been sharply declining since it peaked in 2008.

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https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/05/02/the-canary-in-the-water-column-atlantic-ocean-heat-content-plummets/

Climate is ultimately controlled by the oceans. We have cold times ahead.

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