By Paul Homewood
Just a brief El Nino update.
El Nino conditions have continued to weaken during April, with negative SSTs appearing in the East Pacific.
Below the surface as well cold water is taking over.
Most models are now predicting transition to neutral conditions by June, with an increasing likelihood of La Nina by the autumn.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/
It will be interesting to see what atmospheric temperature anomalies tell us, when UAH and RSS report later this week.
http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_daily.php?plot=ssa&inv=0&t=cur
I have been reporting on the ever growing cold blob in the North Atlantic recently.
WUWT also has a piece up about ocean heat content there, written by David Archibald.
This shows that heat content down to 700m has been sharply declining since it peaked in 2008.
Climate is ultimately controlled by the oceans. We have cold times ahead.