A possible Triple Climate Whammy for the UK ahead?

Watts Up With That?

Guest opinion by John Hardy (UK)


Abraham Hondius “The Frozen Thames” 1677 (during the Maunder minimum)

Two separate indicators of climate change suggest that there is a risk of substantial cooling from 2017 onward. There is also likely to be a gap in energy production worsened by hasty climate change policies, making it three unrelated problems at the same time. In the worst case we could have rolling blackouts in Europe in the next few years.

Why might we expect the climate to cool? Both sides in the climate change debate (see for example this document from CRU) acknowledge a number of factors which appear to correlate to some degree with global temperature:

1. The concentration of water vapour, methane, carbon dioxide and some other gases (“Greenhouse Gasses” or GHGs) in the atmosphere

2. Solar cycles (specifically sunspot cycles)

3. The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

4. Aerosols (from…

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