24,300 Excess Deaths Last Winter

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

Figure 1_ Excess winter deaths and 5-year central moving average, England and Wales, 1950_51 to 2015_16_sup_1,2,3,4__sup_

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/excesswintermortalityinenglandandwales/2015to2016provisionaland2014to2015final

The ONS’ mortality statistics also remind us that many more people die in winter than the rest of the year.

Last winter (actually defined as Dec-March), there were 24300 excess deaths.

This figure is calculated by comparing the number of winter deaths with the average during the rest of the year.

The ONS comment:

There were an estimated 24,300 excess winter deaths (EWDs) in England and Wales in the 2015/16 winter period. This represents an excess winter mortality index of 15%; that is 15% more deaths occurred in winter compared to the non-winter months. The number of EWDs has almost halved since the 2014/15 period and is closer to the 5-year average (years 2011/12 to 2015/16) as shown in Figure 1.

Excess winter deaths in 2015/16 were back in line with average trends. The large decrease in EWD from 2014/15 to 2015/16 can largely be…

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