Credit:NOAA
If it happens, as ‘temperature anomalies are continuing to increase’, it will no doubt be used by some as a peg to hang ‘human-caused warming’ on, despite being a long-established natural occurrence. Politicising the weather is routine nowadays.
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El Niño conditions have developed, as the atmospheric response to the warmer-than-average tropical Pacific sea surface kicked in over the past month, says NOAA.
We expect El Niño to continue into the winter, and the odds of it becoming a strong event at its peak are pretty good, at 56%.
Chances of at least a moderate event are about 84%.
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