Page 6, Propagation of Error and the Reliability of Global Air Temperature Projections by Pat Frank
Guest essay by Eric Worrall
h/t Willie Soon – Climate models do a poor job of reproducing observed climate. But climate scientists seem to think they can produce more accurate projections by adding fudge factors to their models, to force better agreement between models and observations.
The most accurate climate change models predict the most alarming consequences, study finds
By Chris Mooney December 6 at 1:00 PM
The climate change simulations that best capture current planetary conditions are also the ones that predict the most dire levels of human-driven warming, according to a statistical study released in the journal Nature Wednesday.
The study, by Patrick Brown and Ken Caldeira of the Carnegie Institution for Science in Stanford, Calif., examined the high-powered climate change simulations, or “models,” that researchers use to project the future of the…
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