Arctic Ice Resilient in July

It’s all about the volume.

Extent (a fickle metric) varies widely due to winds and currents alternately packing and dispersing ice (not to mention the varying conventions as to what percent concentration of sea ice is counted among the extent).

IIRC it was 2012 when much of the thick, currents (Transpolar) carried much of the multi-year ice out of the Arctic basin into the Greenland Sea between Greenland and Svalbaard.

Science Matters

IMSSandIce07to18day179

In June 2018, Arctic ice extent held up against previous years despite the Pacific basins of Bering and Okhotsk being ice-free.  Now in July when ice extent typically declines, 2018 extents are essentially flat.  The Arctic core is showing little change, perhaps due to increased thickness (volume) as reported by DMI.  The image above shows ice extents on day 179 for years 2007 through 2018.

The graph below shows how the Arctic extent has faired from mid June to July 3 (yesterday) compared to the 11 year average and to some years of interest.
NH arctic ice day 184Note that 2018  was on average and comparable to other years from Mid June on.  Then recently ice extents have held steady just below 10M km2, while averages and other years declined.  2018 is now 370k km2 above the 11 year average,  535k km2 higher than 2017, and 660k km2 greater than 2007 at this date. …

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